Role: Measure the speed and strength of price movement for timing entries and exits
Philosophy: Momentum leads price; divergences and overbought/oversold conditions signal potential reversals
Key Principles
- Oscillator Overbought/Oversold: Levels beyond historical bounds indicate exhaustion
- Divergence Detection: Price and oscillator moving in opposite directions
- Signal Line Crosses: MACD line crossing signal line
- Centerline Crossovers: Momentum shift in primary direction
- Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Higher timeframe momentum validates lower timeframe
Implementation Guidelines
Structure
- Core logic: technical_analysis/momentum.py
- Helper functions: technical_analysis/oscillator.py
- Tests: tests/test_momentum.py
Patterns to Follow
- Normalize all oscillators to comparable scale
- Track oscillator regimes (high volatility vs quiet)
- Combine multiple momentum indicators
Adherence Checklist
Before completing your task, verify:
- All oscillators normalized to 0-1 scale
- Divergence detection runs on all timeframes
- Overbought/oversold thresholds adapt to volatility
- Signal line crossovers require confirmation
- Momentum regime changes trigger alerts
Relative paths in this skill (e.g., scripts/, reference/) are relative to this base directory.
Python Implementation
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from typing import Dict, List, Tuple, Optional
from dataclasses import dataclass
from scipy import stats
@dataclass
class MomentumSignal:
"""Momentum oscillator signal."""
oscillator: str
value: float
signal_type: str # 'overbought', 'oversold', 'cross', 'divergence'
strength: float # 0-1
timeframe: str
class MomentumAnalyzer:
"""Analyzes momentum using multiple oscillators."""
def __init__(self):
self.overbought = 0.7
self.oversold = 0.3
def calculate_rsi(
self, prices: np.ndarray, period: int = 14
) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray]:
"""Calculate RSI and overbought/oversold zones."""
if len(prices) < period + 1:
return np.array([50] * len(prices)), np.array([0.7] * len(prices))
deltas = np.diff(prices)
gains = np.where(deltas > 0, deltas, 0)
losses = np.where(deltas < 0, -deltas, 0)
avg_gain = np.zeros(len(prices))
avg_loss = np.zeros(len(prices))
avg_gain[period] = np.mean(gains[:period])
avg_loss[period] = np.mean(losses[:period])
for i in range(period + 1, len(prices)):
avg_gain[i] = (avg_gain[i-1] * (period - 1) + gains[i-1]) / period
avg_loss[i] = (avg_loss[i-1] * (period - 1) + losses[i-1]) / period
rs = avg_gain / (avg_loss + 1e-8)
rsi = 100 - (100 / (1 + rs))
# Normalize to 0-1 scale
normalized_rsi = rsi / 100
return normalized_rsi, avg_gain, avg_loss
def calculate_macd(
self, prices: np.ndarray, fast: int = 12, slow: int = 26, signal: int = 9
) -> Dict[str, np.ndarray]:
"""Calculate MACD, signal line, and histogram."""
if len(prices) < slow + signal:
return {'macd': np.array([0]), 'signal': np.array([0]), 'histogram': np.array([0])}
ema_fast = self._calculate_ema(prices, fast)
ema_slow = self._calculate_ema(prices, slow)
macd_line = ema_fast - ema_slow
# Signal line is EMA of MACD
signal_line = self._calculate_ema(macd_line, signal)
histogram = macd_line - signal_line
return {
'macd': macd_line,
'signal': signal_line,
'histogram': histogram
}
def calculate_stochastic(
self, high: np.ndarray, low: np.ndarray, close: np.ndarray,
period: int = 14, k_smooth: int = 3
) -> Dict[str, np.ndarray]:
"""Calculate Stochastic Oscillator."""
if len(high) < period:
return {'k': np.array([50]), 'd': np.array([50])}
# Calculate %K
highest_high = np.maximum.rolling(high, period)
lowest_low = np.minimum.rolling(low, period)
k = 100 * (close - lowest_low) / (highest_high - lowest_low + 1e-8)
k = np.nan_to_num(k, nan=50)
# Calculate %D (smoothed %K)
d = np.convolve(k, np.ones(k_smooth)/k_smooth, mode='same')
d = np.nan_to_num(d, nan=50)
return {'k': k / 100, 'd': d / 100} # Normalize to 0-1
def calculate_roc(self, prices: np.ndarray, period: int = 12) -> np.ndarray:
"""Calculate Rate of Change."""
if len(prices) < period:
return np.array([0] * len(prices))
roc = (prices - np.roll(prices, period)) / (np.roll(prices, period) + 1e-8) * 100
roc[:period] = 0
# Normalize to 0-1
roc_normalized = 1 / (1 + np.exp(-roc / 50)) # Sigmoid normalization
return roc_normalized
def detect_oscillator_divergence(
self, prices: np.ndarray, oscillator: np.ndarray,
lookback: int = 20
) -> List[Dict]:
"""Detect regular and hidden divergences."""
divergences = []
for i in range(lookback, len(prices)):
# Regular divergence (reversal signal)
if (prices[i] > prices[i-lookback] and
oscillator[i] < oscillator[i-lookback] and
oscillator[i] > 0.7): # Overbought
divergences.append({
'type': 'bearish_regular',
'price_trend': 'up',
'oscillator_trend': 'down',
'strength': abs(prices[i] - prices[i-lookback]) / prices[i-lookback]
})
if (prices[i] < prices[i-lookback] and
oscillator[i] > oscillator[i-lookback] and
oscillator[i] < 0.3): # Oversold
divergences.append({
'type': 'bullish_regular',
'price_trend': 'down',
'oscillator_trend': 'up',
'strength': abs(prices[i] - prices[i-lookback]) / prices[i-lookback]
})
# Hidden divergence (continuation signal)
if (prices[i] < prices[i-lookback] and
oscillator[i] > oscillator[i-lookback] and
oscillator[i] < 0.3):
divergences.append({
'type': 'bullish_hidden',
'price_trend': 'down',
'oscillator_trend': 'up',
'strength': abs(oscillator[i] - oscillator[i-lookback])
})
if (prices[i] > prices[i-lookback] and
oscillator[i] < oscillator[i-lookback] and
oscillator[i] > 0.7):
divergences.append({
'type': 'bearish_hidden',
'price_trend': 'up',
'oscillator_trend': 'down',
'strength': abs(oscillator[i] - oscillator[i-lookback])
})
return divergences
def _calculate_ema(self, data: np.ndarray, period: int) -> np.ndarray:
"""Calculate Exponential Moving Average."""
if len(data) < period:
return data
ema = np.zeros(len(data))
ema[:period] = np.mean(data[:period])
multiplier = 2 / (period + 1)
for i in range(period, len(data)):
ema[i] = (data[i] - ema[i-1]) * multiplier + ema[i-1]
return ema
Pattern 2: Risk-Managed Trading Logic with Validation
from __future__ import annotations
import logging
from dataclasses import dataclass
from typing import Optional
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class TradeSignal:
"""Immutable trade signal with all required validation constraints."""
symbol: str
side: str # "buy" or "sell"
price: float
quantity: float
confidence: float # 0.0 to 1.0
reason: str
def validate(self) -> bool:
"""Validate that the trade signal meets all business constraints."""
if self.quantity <= 0:
raise ValueError(f"Quantity must be positive, got {self.quantity}")
if self.price <= 0:
raise ValueError(f"Price must be positive, got {self.price}")
if not 0.0 <= self.confidence <= 1.0:
raise ValueError(f"Confidence must be between 0 and 1, got {self.confidence}")
return True
def generate_trade_signal(
symbol: str,
side: str,
price: float,
quantity: float,
confidence: float,
reason: str,
) -> TradeSignal:
"""Generate a validated trade signal with guard clause checks."""
if side not in ("buy", "sell"):
raise ValueError(f"Invalid side '{side}', must be 'buy' or 'sell'")
signal = TradeSignal(
symbol=symbol,
side=side,
price=price,
quantity=quantity,
confidence=confidence,
reason=reason,
)
signal.validate()
logger.info("Trade signal generated: %s %s %.4f @ %.2f (confidence=%.2f)",
symbol, side, quantity, price, confidence)
return signal
def execute_with_risk_check(signal: TradeSignal, max_position_pct: float = 0.05) -> dict:
"""Execute a trade signal after applying risk management checks."""
adjusted_quantity = signal.quantity
if signal.side == "buy" and signal.quantity > max_position_pct:
logger.warning("Position %s exceeds max %.1f%% — capping to %.4f",
signal.symbol, max_position_pct * 100, max_position_pct)
adjusted_quantity = max_position_pct
return {
"symbol": signal.symbol,
"side": signal.side,
"price": signal.price,
"quantity": adjusted_quantity,
"capped": adjusted_quantity < signal.quantity,
"confidence": signal.confidence,
"status": "submitted",
}
Constraints
MUST DO
- Implement indicator calculations using rolling windows with explicit lookback periods; never use full-history data for online indicators
- Validate signal generation by confirming alignment across multiple independent indicators before acting on a single signal
- Calculate all price-based indicators (SMA, EMA, RSI) on closing prices unless specifically designed for tick data
- Include proper handling of missing/NaN candles in indicator pipelines — forward-fill only within session boundaries
- Log signal generation with the full context window of indicator values that led to each signal
MUST NOT DO
- Do not use look-ahead bias: never reference future bars or prices when calculating indicators during backtesting
- Avoid recalculating all indicators from scratch on every tick — maintain running state for efficiency
- Never combine indicators with different timeframes without explicit resampling and clear documentation of the alignment logic
- Do not generate signals based on a single indicator crossover; require confirmation from price action or volume
- Avoid hardcoding parameter values (e.g., RSI period = 14) without testing regime-specific optima
Live References
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