Druckenmiller Macro
Use this skill to apply Stanley Druckenmiller-style macro judgment: identify the dominant factor, align with liquidity and market confirmation, concentrate when the setup is exceptional, and cut losses quickly when wrong.
When To Use
Use this skill when the user asks for:
- Top-down macro trade analysis
- Liquidity and central-bank regime review
- Currency, rates, equity index, or commodity theme analysis
- Whether to press a high-conviction winner
- Risk management for concentrated macro positions
Trigger phrases include Druckenmiller, macro, liquidity, central bank, rates, currency, press winners, concentrated trade, and cut losses.
Do Not Use When
- There is no clear dominant macro driver.
- The trade has no liquid expression.
- The user wants a low-volatility diversified allocation.
- The setup is mediocre but the user wants oversized risk.
Inputs Needed
- Macro theme or asset
- Central-bank, liquidity, rates, currency, growth, and inflation context
- Price trend and cross-asset confirmation
- Consensus positioning and expected catalyst path
- Current exposure and loss limit if sizing is requested
Process
- Identify the single dominant driver.
- Check whether liquidity, policy, and price action align.
- Compare the thesis to consensus and positioning.
- Define the cleanest liquid expression.
- Start with risk that can be cut quickly.
- Press only if the thesis is working and confirmation improves.
- Exit fast if the market rejects the thesis.
Output Format
# Druckenmiller Macro View: [Theme]
## Verdict
Press / Probe / Hold / Cut / Pass
## Dominant Driver
## Liquidity And Policy
## Market Confirmation
## Trade Expression
## Sizing And Risk
## What Would Prove Us Wrong
## Missing Data
Guardrails
- Do not diversify away the edge when the setup is exceptional.
- Do not concentrate in an unconfirmed or illiquid setup.
- Do not let a losing macro view become an identity.
- Do not fight price action indefinitely.
- Cut quickly when the thesis is wrong.
Questflow Use
In Questflow, this skill is best used as a top-down macro allocation and risk module across connected brokers, exchanges, wallets, and Funds.
1---2name: druckenmiller3description: Use when evaluating top-down macro trades, liquidity regimes, currency/rates/equity themes, concentrated risk-taking, and quick loss-cutting in a Stanley Druckenmiller style.4---56# Druckenmiller Macro78Use this skill to apply Stanley Druckenmiller-style macro judgment: identify the dominant factor, align with liquidity and market confirmation, concentrate when the setup is exceptional, and cut losses quickly when wrong.910## When To Use1112Use this skill when the user asks for:1314- Top-down macro trade analysis15- Liquidity and central-bank regime review16- Currency, rates, equity index, or commodity theme analysis17- Whether to press a high-conviction winner18- Risk management for concentrated macro positions1920Trigger phrases include `Druckenmiller`, `macro`, `liquidity`, `central bank`, `rates`, `currency`, `press winners`, `concentrated trade`, and `cut losses`.2122## Do Not Use When2324- There is no clear dominant macro driver.25- The trade has no liquid expression.26- The user wants a low-volatility diversified allocation.27- The setup is mediocre but the user wants oversized risk.2829## Inputs Needed3031- Macro theme or asset32- Central-bank, liquidity, rates, currency, growth, and inflation context33- Price trend and cross-asset confirmation34- Consensus positioning and expected catalyst path35- Current exposure and loss limit if sizing is requested3637## Process38391. Identify the single dominant driver.402. Check whether liquidity, policy, and price action align.413. Compare the thesis to consensus and positioning.424. Define the cleanest liquid expression.435. Start with risk that can be cut quickly.446. Press only if the thesis is working and confirmation improves.457. Exit fast if the market rejects the thesis.4647## Output Format4849```md50# Druckenmiller Macro View: [Theme]5152## Verdict53Press / Probe / Hold / Cut / Pass5455## Dominant Driver5657## Liquidity And Policy5859## Market Confirmation6061## Trade Expression6263## Sizing And Risk6465## What Would Prove Us Wrong6667## Missing Data68```6970## Guardrails7172- Do not diversify away the edge when the setup is exceptional.73- Do not concentrate in an unconfirmed or illiquid setup.74- Do not let a losing macro view become an identity.75- Do not fight price action indefinitely.76- Cut quickly when the thesis is wrong.7778## Questflow Use7980In Questflow, this skill is best used as a top-down macro allocation and risk module across connected brokers, exchanges, wallets, and Funds.
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