revfactory Decision Trigger Mapper — Decision Trigger Map Design Tool
A specialized skill that enhances the strategy execution design capabilities of the strategy-architect agent.
Target Agent
- strategy-architect — Response strategy development, decision trigger design
Strategy Type Classification System
3-Tier Strategy Portfolio
| Type | Definition | Execution Condition | Investment Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robust Strategy | Valid across all scenarios | Execute immediately | Full investment |
| Hedge Strategy | Valid across most scenarios | Start early, adjust direction | Medium investment |
| Option Strategy | Valid only in specific scenarios | Execute when trigger fires | Minimum investment (secure option) |
Strategy Type Decision Tree
Is this strategy valuable across all 4 scenarios?
+-- YES → Robust Strategy (Core)
| → Execute immediately, concentrate resources
+-- NO
+-- Valuable in 2-3 scenarios?
| +-- YES → Hedge Strategy (Hedge)
| | → Initial investment, design for pivot
| +-- NO → Valuable in only 1?
| +-- YES & high impact → Option Strategy (Option)
| | → Minimum investment, await trigger
| +-- YES & low impact → Defer
+-- Uncertain in any scenario → Requires re-analysis
Decision Trigger Map Design
Trigger Card Template
### Trigger #N: [Trigger Name]
**Related Strategy**: [Which option strategy does it activate]
**Related Scenario**: [Which scenario transition triggers it]
| Item | Content |
|------|---------|
| Observable Metric | [What to monitor] |
| Data Source | [Where to collect data] |
| Threshold | [At what level does it fire] |
| Confirmation Period | [How long must it persist to confirm trigger] |
| Response Action | [Specifically what to do] |
| Decision Owner | [Who makes the decision] |
| Required Resources | [Budget/people/time needed] |
| Withdrawal Condition | [When to deactivate the trigger] |
Trigger Types
| Type | Description | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Redline Trigger | Immediate action if crossed | Market share < 15% |
| Cumulative Trigger | Act when multiple signals accumulate | 3+ warning signals fire simultaneously |
| Time Trigger | Evaluate at specific points | Quarterly strategy review |
| Event Trigger | Act upon specific event occurrence | Competitor M&A announcement |
Real Options Thinking Framework
Design strategic options using financial option analogies:
| Financial Option | Strategic Option Equivalent | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Call Option (right to buy) | Growth Option | New market entry preparation (small-scale test) |
| Put Option (right to sell) | Shrink/Exit Option | Business unit divestiture conditions defined |
| Straddle | Both-direction Option | Prepare for both scenario outcomes |
| Premium | Option maintenance cost | Pilot project costs |
| Strike Price | Trigger threshold | Market size attainment benchmark |
| Expiration | Decision deadline | Strategy review timing |
Option Value Assessment Criteria
| Criterion | Question | High = Higher Option Value |
|---|---|---|
| Uncertainty | Is uncertainty high in this area? | More uncertain → higher option value |
| Irreversibility | Is it irreversible once executed? | More irreversible → higher option value |
| Learning Potential | Will more information become available over time? | More learnable → higher option value |
| Option Cost | Is the option maintenance cost manageable? | Lower cost → easier to execute |
Execution Roadmap Integration
Action Classification by Time Horizon
| Time Horizon | Action Type | Budget Share |
|---|---|---|
| Immediate (0-3 months) | Launch robust strategies + build monitoring system | 50% |
| Short-term (3-12 months) | Initial hedge strategy execution + secure options | 30% |
| Medium-term (1-3 years) | Trigger-based option exercise/abandonment | 15% |
| Long-term (3-5 years) | Strategy portfolio reassessment | 5% |
Strategy Review Cadence
Quarterly Review: Monitor triggers → evaluate signals → decide option exercise
Semi-Annual Review: Revalidate scenario validity → add new variables → update matrix
Annual Review: Full scenario refresh → rebuild strategy portfolio