STEEP Framework — Macro-Environment Analysis Tool
A specialized skill that enhances the environmental scanning capabilities of the variable-analyst agent.
Target Agent
- variable-analyst — Systematic identification of key variables using the STEEP framework
STEEP 6-Dimension Scanning
Dimension Definitions
| Dimension |
Scope |
Example Variables |
| S Social |
Demographics, lifestyle, values, education |
Aging population, remote work adoption, DEI awareness |
| T Technological |
Innovation, adoption rate, disruption |
AI adoption, quantum computing, cybersecurity threats |
| E Economic |
Growth, inflation, trade, labor market |
Interest rate changes, supply chain restructuring, gig economy |
| E Environmental |
Climate, resources, sustainability |
Carbon regulation, ESG pressure, resource scarcity |
| P Political |
Government policy, regulation, geopolitics |
Data privacy regulation, trade wars, political polarization |
| L Legal |
Laws, compliance, intellectual property |
Antitrust regulation, labor law changes, patent disputes |
Scanning Checklist per Dimension
For each dimension, investigate:
- Current State: What is happening now?
- Direction of Change: Which way is the trend moving?
- Speed of Change: How fast? (Gradual/Rapid/Discontinuous)
- Certainty: Is this predetermined or uncertain?
- Impact: How does it affect our industry/organization?
Uncertainty-Impact Matrix
4-Quadrant Classification
Impact (High)
| Q2: Predetermined Q1: Scenario Drivers
| (Certain Trends) (Matrix Axes)
| → Apply to all → 2 axes for matrix
| scenarios
|
| Q4: Background Q3: Monitor
| (Ignore) (Wild Cards)
| → Minimal attention → Watch list
|
Impact (Low)
+--- Uncertainty (Low) ---- Uncertainty (High)
Assessment Criteria
| Score |
Uncertainty |
Impact |
| 5 |
Completely unpredictable, multiple possible outcomes |
Existential impact on business model |
| 4 |
Difficult to predict, 2-3 plausible outcomes |
Significant impact on core revenue |
| 3 |
Somewhat predictable but variable |
Moderate impact on operations |
| 2 |
Mostly predictable with minor variations |
Limited departmental impact |
| 1 |
Nearly certain, single expected outcome |
Negligible impact |
Trend Classification
Predetermined Trends
- High certainty of direction (uncertainty score 1-2)
- Applied as constants across all scenarios
- Example: Aging population in developed nations
Critical Uncertainties
- High uncertainty AND high impact (Q1 quadrant)
- Used as scenario matrix axes
- Example: AI regulation direction (restrictive vs. permissive)
Wild Cards
- Low probability but potentially high impact events
- Included as shock events within specific scenarios
- Example: Pandemic, technology breakthrough, geopolitical crisis
1---2name: steep-framework3description: A STEEP macro-environment analysis methodology for systematic identification of scenario planning variables. Used by the variable-analyst agent for comprehensive environmental scanning. Automatically applied in contexts such as 'STEEP analysis', 'macro-environment analysis', 'environmental scanning', 'driving forces', 'megatrends'. However, real-time data collection and econometric model construction are outside the scope of this skill.4---56# STEEP Framework — Macro-Environment Analysis Tool78A specialized skill that enhances the environmental scanning capabilities of the variable-analyst agent.910## Target Agent1112- **variable-analyst** — Systematic identification of key variables using the STEEP framework1314## STEEP 6-Dimension Scanning1516### Dimension Definitions1718| Dimension | Scope | Example Variables |19|-----------|-------|-------------------|20| **S** Social | Demographics, lifestyle, values, education | Aging population, remote work adoption, DEI awareness |21| **T** Technological | Innovation, adoption rate, disruption | AI adoption, quantum computing, cybersecurity threats |22| **E** Economic | Growth, inflation, trade, labor market | Interest rate changes, supply chain restructuring, gig economy |23| **E** Environmental | Climate, resources, sustainability | Carbon regulation, ESG pressure, resource scarcity |24| **P** Political | Government policy, regulation, geopolitics | Data privacy regulation, trade wars, political polarization |25| **L** Legal | Laws, compliance, intellectual property | Antitrust regulation, labor law changes, patent disputes |2627### Scanning Checklist per Dimension2829For each dimension, investigate:301. **Current State**: What is happening now?312. **Direction of Change**: Which way is the trend moving?323. **Speed of Change**: How fast? (Gradual/Rapid/Discontinuous)334. **Certainty**: Is this predetermined or uncertain?345. **Impact**: How does it affect our industry/organization?3536## Uncertainty-Impact Matrix3738### 4-Quadrant Classification3940```41Impact (High)42 | Q2: Predetermined Q1: Scenario Drivers43 | (Certain Trends) (Matrix Axes)44 | → Apply to all → 2 axes for matrix45 | scenarios46 |47 | Q4: Background Q3: Monitor48 | (Ignore) (Wild Cards)49 | → Minimal attention → Watch list50 |51Impact (Low)52 +--- Uncertainty (Low) ---- Uncertainty (High)53```5455### Assessment Criteria5657| Score | Uncertainty | Impact |58|-------|-----------|--------|59| 5 | Completely unpredictable, multiple possible outcomes | Existential impact on business model |60| 4 | Difficult to predict, 2-3 plausible outcomes | Significant impact on core revenue |61| 3 | Somewhat predictable but variable | Moderate impact on operations |62| 2 | Mostly predictable with minor variations | Limited departmental impact |63| 1 | Nearly certain, single expected outcome | Negligible impact |6465## Trend Classification6667### Predetermined Trends68- High certainty of direction (uncertainty score 1-2)69- Applied as constants across all scenarios70- Example: Aging population in developed nations7172### Critical Uncertainties73- High uncertainty AND high impact (Q1 quadrant)74- Used as scenario matrix axes75- Example: AI regulation direction (restrictive vs. permissive)7677### Wild Cards78- Low probability but potentially high impact events79- Included as shock events within specific scenarios80- Example: Pandemic, technology breakthrough, geopolitical crisis