Essays in Persuasion: Keynes Policy Reasoning Orchestrator
Skill Purpose
Apply John Maynard Keynes's policy reasoning from Essays in Persuasion to contemporary macroeconomic questions. This is a modular skill because users may ask separate, independently triggered questions about debt capacity, inflation versus deflation, fixed exchange-rate traps, demand shortfalls, or economic persuasion.
Routing Rules
| User intent |
Route to |
| Sovereign debt, reparations, sanctions, fiscal capacity, creditor demands |
subskills/transfer-problem.md |
| Inflation, deflation, unemployment tradeoffs, real debt burdens |
subskills/inflation-deflation.md |
| Gold standard, currency pegs, euro constraints, devaluation |
subskills/fixed-rate-trap.md |
| Recession, austerity, stimulus, liquidity trap, animal spirits |
subskills/aggregate-demand.md |
| Critique or write an economic argument meant to persuade |
subskills/economic-persuasion.md |
Execution Rules
- Identify the user's concrete policy question and economic context.
- Route to the smallest relevant subskill; combine subskills only when the question spans mechanisms.
- Use current data when the user asks about a present economy or market.
- Distinguish short-run consequences from long-run equilibrium claims.
- State what evidence would change the verdict.
Multi-Module Output Format
- Diagnosis line: identify the policy problem.
- Routed module(s): name the Keynesian lens used.
- Evidence: 2-3 data points or historical parallels.
- Verdict: recommendation with caveats.
- Revision condition: what would make the answer change.
Subskill Status
All subskills are required and present in subskills/.
CITATION RULES
Use quotes only when the user asks for source grounding or when a claim needs attribution. Reference quote anchors by topic file and anchor. Keep quoted excerpts short.
demand-confidence-quotes.md: #slump-trade-employment, #idle-workers-worldwide, #public-works-remedy, #doing-spending-enterprises, #restore-confidence-enterprise, #revive-enterprise-activity, #deflation-transfers-wealth, #active-to-inactivepolicy-diagnosis-quotes.md: #germany-pays-in-goods, #transfer-destroys-balance, #inflation-and-deflation-injure, #inflation-unjust-deflation-inexpedient, #deflation-provokes-unemployment, #reject-prewar-gold-standard, #gold-standard-links-city-wall-street, #economists-as-dentists
Critical Reminders
- Judge policy by real output, employment, price, and distributional consequences.
- Do not turn Keynes into a universal pro-stimulus slogan; context determines the prescription.
- Do not reproduce long source passages.
1---2name: essays-in-persuasion-keynes3description: Apply Keynes policy reasoning. Trigger on: "will austerity work?", "inflation or deflation?", "analyze this economic crisis".4license: Skill distillation for personal/educational use. Do not reproduc5---67# Essays in Persuasion: Keynes Policy Reasoning Orchestrator89## Skill Purpose1011Apply John Maynard Keynes's policy reasoning from *Essays in Persuasion* to contemporary macroeconomic questions. This is a modular skill because users may ask separate, independently triggered questions about debt capacity, inflation versus deflation, fixed exchange-rate traps, demand shortfalls, or economic persuasion.1213## Routing Rules1415| User intent | Route to |16|---|---|17| Sovereign debt, reparations, sanctions, fiscal capacity, creditor demands | `subskills/transfer-problem.md` |18| Inflation, deflation, unemployment tradeoffs, real debt burdens | `subskills/inflation-deflation.md` |19| Gold standard, currency pegs, euro constraints, devaluation | `subskills/fixed-rate-trap.md` |20| Recession, austerity, stimulus, liquidity trap, animal spirits | `subskills/aggregate-demand.md` |21| Critique or write an economic argument meant to persuade | `subskills/economic-persuasion.md` |2223## Execution Rules24251. Identify the user's concrete policy question and economic context.262. Route to the smallest relevant subskill; combine subskills only when the question spans mechanisms.273. Use current data when the user asks about a present economy or market.284. Distinguish short-run consequences from long-run equilibrium claims.295. State what evidence would change the verdict.3031## Multi-Module Output Format3233- Diagnosis line: identify the policy problem.34- Routed module(s): name the Keynesian lens used.35- Evidence: 2-3 data points or historical parallels.36- Verdict: recommendation with caveats.37- Revision condition: what would make the answer change.3839## Subskill Status4041All subskills are required and present in `subskills/`.4243## CITATION RULES4445Use quotes only when the user asks for source grounding or when a claim needs attribution. Reference quote anchors by topic file and anchor. Keep quoted excerpts short.4647- `demand-confidence-quotes.md`: `#slump-trade-employment`, `#idle-workers-worldwide`, `#public-works-remedy`, `#doing-spending-enterprises`, `#restore-confidence-enterprise`, `#revive-enterprise-activity`, `#deflation-transfers-wealth`, `#active-to-inactive`48- `policy-diagnosis-quotes.md`: `#germany-pays-in-goods`, `#transfer-destroys-balance`, `#inflation-and-deflation-injure`, `#inflation-unjust-deflation-inexpedient`, `#deflation-provokes-unemployment`, `#reject-prewar-gold-standard`, `#gold-standard-links-city-wall-street`, `#economists-as-dentists`4950## Critical Reminders5152- Judge policy by real output, employment, price, and distributional consequences.53- Do not turn Keynes into a universal pro-stimulus slogan; context determines the prescription.54- Do not reproduce long source passages.
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