Consider Alternatives

Generate competing explanations for the same observations

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Follow these steps:

1. State the current explanation

State the current explanation and its supporting evidence.

2. Generate alternatives

Vary mechanism, scope, timing, or direction of causation. Combine multiple causes. Question whether the pattern is coincidence.

3. Make each alternative concrete

Describe how it would work and what observations it would predict.

4. Identify distinguishing tests

What evidence would separate one explanation from another?

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