Mjrtl Agentic Product Manager Ice Score

ICE Score

Score an idea on Impact, Confidence, and Ease to propose execution priority.

When to use

• To quickly order an idea backlog and select items for exploration
• When you have at least some explicit evidence and a rough effort estimate
• Before drafting experiment plans for a leaf opportunity

Input

• Idea title and description: goal, target metric, scope, and working hypothesis
• Idea analysis and current state: data/user/market/test evidence, risks, and effort estimate
• Optional: target metric change (%), estimated effort (person-weeks)

Output

• Format: Markdown (.md)
• Location: initiatives/[initiative]/solutions/
• Filename: ice-[YYYY-MM-DD]-[slugified-idea-title].md

Scoring quick reference

• Impact: Map expected metric change (%) to 0-10 scale
• Ease: Map estimated effort (person-weeks) to 10-1 scale
• Confidence: Sum weighted evidence contributions with group caps
• ICE Score = Impact x Confidence x Ease

Priority buckets

Guardrails

• Do not invent or infer evidence
• Exclude evidence not directly tied to Impact from Confidence
• When uncertain, apply conservative caps
• Prevent duplicate counting of the same source

For the full scoring model, evidence types, confidence calculation, and report format, see references/ice-scoring-model.md.

Follow the writing standards in _shared/writing-standards.md for all outputs.

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