1---2name: risk-assessment3description: Risk identification and analysis frameworks for technology decisions4---56# Risk Assessment Skill78## Objectives910Provide structured methodology for identifying and analyzing risks:11- Systematic risk identification12- Impact and probability assessment13- Mitigation strategy development1415## Risk Categories1617### Technical Risks18| Risk Type | Examples | Indicators |19|-----------|----------|------------|20| Performance | Latency, throughput issues | Benchmark gaps, load test failures |21| Scalability | Growth limitations | Architecture constraints, bottlenecks |22| Reliability | System failures, data loss | SPOF, recovery gaps |23| Security | Vulnerabilities, breaches | CVEs, compliance gaps |24| Integration | API incompatibilities | Version conflicts, protocol mismatches |2526### Implementation Risks27| Risk Type | Examples | Indicators |28|-----------|----------|------------|29| Timeline | Delays, scope creep | Complexity underestimation |30| Resource | Skill gaps, turnover | Training needs, market scarcity |31| Quality | Technical debt, bugs | Code coverage gaps, review failures |32| Dependency | Third-party failures | Vendor instability, EOL products |3334### Business Risks35| Risk Type | Examples | Indicators |36|-----------|----------|------------|37| Financial | Budget overrun, hidden costs | Incomplete TCO analysis |38| Strategic | Lock-in, obsolescence | Single vendor dependency |39| Operational | Downtime, productivity loss | Change management gaps |40| Compliance | Regulatory violations | Certification requirements |4142## Risk Assessment Matrix4344### Probability Scale45| Level | Description | Likelihood |46|-------|-------------|------------|47| 5 | Almost Certain | >90% |48| 4 | Likely | 60-90% |49| 3 | Possible | 30-60% |50| 2 | Unlikely | 10-30% |51| 1 | Rare | <10% |5253### Impact Scale54| Level | Description | Effect |55|-------|-------------|--------|56| 5 | Critical | Project failure, major loss |57| 4 | Major | Significant delay, budget overrun |58| 3 | Moderate | Notable impact, recoverable |59| 2 | Minor | Limited impact, easily managed |60| 1 | Negligible | Minimal impact |6162### Risk Score = Probability × Impact6364| Score | Priority | Action |65|-------|----------|--------|66| 15-25 | Critical | Immediate mitigation required |67| 8-14 | High | Mitigation plan essential |68| 4-7 | Medium | Monitor and plan contingency |69| 1-3 | Low | Accept and monitor |7071## Mitigation Strategies7273### Strategy Types741. **Avoid**: Eliminate the risk source752. **Transfer**: Shift risk to third party (insurance, contracts)763. **Mitigate**: Reduce probability or impact774. **Accept**: Acknowledge and prepare contingency7879### Mitigation Plan Template80```markdown81## Risk: [Risk Name]8283**Category**: [Technical/Implementation/Business]84**Probability**: [1-5]85**Impact**: [1-5]86**Risk Score**: [P × I]8788### Description89[Detailed risk description]9091### Root Cause92[What causes this risk]9394### Impact Analysis95- Best case: [Outcome]96- Most likely: [Outcome]97- Worst case: [Outcome]9899### Mitigation Strategy100- Strategy type: [Avoid/Transfer/Mitigate/Accept]101- Actions:102 1. [Action 1]103 2. [Action 2]104- Cost: [Mitigation cost]105106### Contingency Plan107[What to do if risk occurs]108109### Monitoring110- Trigger indicators: [Warning signs]111- Review frequency: [Weekly/Monthly]112```113114## Output Specification115116Risk assessments should include:117- Risk register with all identified risks118- Heat map visualization (probability vs impact)119- Top risks with mitigation plans120- Residual risk summary121- Monitoring recommendations