Counterfactual Scenario Construction

Construct precise, internally consistent counterfactual scenarios where specified factors are altered, then reason about the resulting conclusion.

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Counterfactual Scenario Construction

Builds precise counterfactual worlds where specified factors differ from actuality.

Execution

Subagent — spawned via subagent-spawning/spawn-agent.

Why Subagent

Scenario construction requires careful reasoning about cascading effects of changes while maintaining internal consistency.

Input

  • artifact: The original artifact
  • factor_to_change: Which factor to alter
  • change_specification: How to alter it (remove, weaken, strengthen, invert)

Output

  • scenario: The counterfactual world description
  • conclusion_status: holds/weakened/flipped/indeterminate
  • cascading_effects: What else changes as a result
  • consistency_check: Whether the scenario is internally consistent

Budget

One unit = one scenario construction per factor change.

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOP When to use
spawn-agent Spawn a customized CC subagent with full MCP tool access. Used by SOPs that declare execution: subagent.

yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/tree/main/skills/counterfactual-scenario-construction commit fe87438a54

Frequently asked questions

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