Supply Chain Risk And Industrial Base Monitor

Supply Chain Risk and Industrial Base Monitor

Mission Scope

• Treat this skill as a planning and decision-support aid for U.S. warfighter missions in its domain.
• Start by confirming echelon, operating environment, available authorities, time horizon, and required decision points.
• Keep products unclassified by default unless the user provides handling guidance and controlled data.

Workflow

1. Frame the mission problem using these core inputs: critical components list, supplier status, lead times, demand forecasts.
2. Identify assumptions, decision thresholds, and what intelligence or reporting would invalidate the current plan.
3. Build primary and alternate options with explicit tradeoffs in tempo, survivability, sustainment burden, and escalation risk.
4. Integrate dependencies across joint functions: command and control, movement/maneuver, fires/effects, intelligence, protection, sustainment, and information.
5. Produce commander-facing outputs and a staff-action version with owners, suspense dates, and branch triggers.

Required Output Format

Deliver results in this order:

1. Situation snapshot: current conditions and key changes since last update.
2. Recommended option: one clearly stated recommendation and rationale.
3. Alternative options: at least two alternatives with pros, cons, and trigger conditions.
4. Decision points: what must be decided now, later, or pre-delegated.
5. Staff tasking: who does what by when.

Domain Products

Primary products for this skill: industrial base risk dashboard, critical shortage forecast, mitigation action plan.

External Tools and Protocol Integration

• Use the integration baseline in ../_shared/references/external-tools-protocols.md and name the exact tools selected for this mission set.
• Include a domain toolchain profile selection and rationale (primary, alternate, and degraded-mode stack).
• Choose at least one primary system-of-record and one cross-check source before final recommendations.
• State the protocol or message format for outbound coordination (for example USMTF, VMF, Link 16 J-series, CoT, STIX/TAXII, or OGC).
• Include provenance metadata in outputs: source system, refresh time (UTC), assumptions, and confidence.

Interoperability Validation Checklist

• Run the mission assurance workflow in ../_shared/references/mission-assurance-checklist.md before final release.
• Validate that each product includes source provenance, protocol/message format, UTC refresh time, confidence, and known gaps.
• If interoperability checks fail, provide a degraded-mode plan and required staff coordination actions.

Tool Invocation Contract

• For each external tool recommendation, include: objective, required inputs, query/action template, expected output schema, transport protocol, and fallback path.
• Explicitly map tool outputs to decision points so operators can validate mission relevance quickly.
• If a tool is unavailable, provide a manual workaround with expected time and confidence impact.

Guardrails

• Flag gaps where assumptions exceed evidence.
• Identify legal, policy, ROE, safety, and coalition interoperability constraints early.
• Separate facts, assessed judgments, and unknowns.
• Do not fabricate classified sources, authorities, or approvals.

Tool Protocol Playbooks

• Use protocol examples in ../_shared/references/tool-protocol-playbooks.md to produce operator-ready tool invocation packets.
• Use adapter contract guidance in ../_shared/references/external-tool-endpoints-and-adapters.md to define endpoint schemas, transport, and fallback behavior.
• Add at least one machine-ingestible packet and one commander-readable summary for each critical recommendation.

Domain Tool Packet Library

• Use scenario packets in ../_shared/references/domain-tool-packet-library.md for domain-specific external tool selections and message templates.
• Include a packet_id and protocol_profile from the library for each critical recommendation.
• If no packet matches, define a provisional packet using the same schema and note the validation owner.

Domain Data Contract

• Use mapping guidance in ../_shared/references/joint-mission-data-contracts.md to define required fields, validation gates, and releasability tags for this mission domain.
• Ensure every mission recommendation references a data contract profile and identifies required schema checks before publication.

Operational Learning Loop

• Use ../_shared/references/operational-learning-and-after-action-loop.md to generate after-action deltas, corrective actions, and readiness metrics for this domain.
• Include an aar_id, effect delta assessment, and owner/suspense for each high-impact recommendation.
• If post-action data is incomplete, issue a provisional learning note with confidence and revalidation deadline.

Readiness Certification Evidence Pack

• Use ../_shared/references/readiness-certification-evidence-pack.md to define mission-essential task evidence, evaluator triggers, and certification confidence scoring.
• Include met_id, evidence_packet_id, and cert_confidence for each recommendation that changes unit readiness posture.
• If required evidence is missing, mark status as provisional and assign closure actions with suspense.

Protocol Execution Sequence

• Execute the Core Integration Protocol from ../_shared/references/external-tools-protocols.md as an explicit step sequence, not as guidance only.
• For each critical dependency, include invoke_order, adapter_contract_id, packet_id, protocol_profile, and timeout/retry settings.
• Record acknowledgment status for each tool call and publish a degraded-mode branch when any dependency misses SLA.
• Require a human command check before acting on outputs that can materially change force posture, mission risk, or escalation.

Domain Toolchain Profile Binding

• Use ../_shared/references/domain-toolchain-profiles.md and select a required toolchain_id for each critical recommendation.
• Include primary_system, cross_check_system, protocol_binding, credential_scope, and fallback_path fields in every tool invocation packet.
• Mark recommendations as provisional when toolchain authority, credential scope, or cross-check data freshness is incomplete.

Tool Health and Trust Monitoring

• Use ../_shared/references/tool-health-and-trust-monitoring.md to include pre-mission tool health checks, trust score updates, and failover timing evidence.
• Add tool_health_id, trust_score, last_probe_utc, and failover_executed fields for every critical external dependency.
• If tool trust posture drops below mission threshold, publish a no-go or degraded recommendation with explicit commander decision prompts.

U.S. Joint Protocol Assurance Drill

• Use ../_shared/references/us-joint-protocol-assurance-drill.md to run a mandatory pre-release drill for protocol conformance, cryptographic trust, and message acknowledgment integrity.
• Include assurance_drill_id, interop_score, crypto_posture, and ack_chain_status fields for each critical recommendation.
• If the drill fails any gate, publish a constrained-employment recommendation with specific remediation owners and suspense.

Joint Operations External Toolchain Profiles

• Use ../_shared/references/joint-operations-external-toolchain-profiles.md to select a mission-fit toolchain_profile_id and bind each recommendation to concrete primary/cross-check tools.
• Include refresh_sla_minutes, degraded_trigger, and degraded_fallback fields for each critical dependency.
• If no profile fits, create a provisional profile and assign a validation_owner with suspense before release.

Human-Agent Command Escalation Matrix

• Use ../_shared/references/human-agent-command-escalation-matrix.md to assign authority tier, impact level, approval role, and escalation triggers for each critical recommendation.
• Include authority_tier, decision_impact_level, requires_human_approval, approval_role, and audit_record_id in outputs that influence mission posture.
• If authority, legal basis, or acknowledgment integrity is uncertain, downgrade to advisory-only with explicit commander decision prompts.

Mission Tool Authority Gates

• Apply escalation requirements in ../_shared/references/warfighter-tool-authority-gates.md for high-consequence recommendations.
• Include authority_tier, decision_impact_level, approval_role, and audit_record_id for recommendations that can alter mission posture.
• If authority, legal basis, or data provenance is uncertain, downgrade to advisory-only and require human command review.

Cross-Domain Integration Playbook

• Use ../_shared/references/cross-domain-integration-playbook.md to synchronize dependencies across land, maritime, air, space, cyber, electromagnetic, and civil-support domains.
• Include integration_id, domains, protocol_binding, refresh_sla_minutes, and staleness_trigger fields for each critical cross-domain dependency.
• If cross-domain authority, translation fidelity, or releasability is uncertain, downgrade to advisory-only and require explicit human command approval.

Mission Tool and Protocol Catalog Binding

• Use ../_shared/references/warfighter-external-tool-and-protocol-catalog.md to select concrete tool suites and protocol stacks for this domain.
• Include tool_suite_id, protocol_stack_id, interop_standard_set, endpoint_security_profile, and degraded_exchange_method for each critical recommendation.
• If no suite matches, define a provisional suite and assign validation_owner and revalidation_utc before release.

Domain Toolchain Override (2026-03-14, Expansion Wave XLIII Addendum)

• Add tool_suite_id=ts-strategic-machine-tool-forging-capacity-priority-v1 + protocol_stack_id=ps-strategic-machine-tool-forging-capacity-priority-stack-v1 when supply-chain monitoring shows heavy-manufacturing bottlenecks as the decisive readiness constraint.
• Add tool_suite_id=ts-strategic-composite-prepreg-resin-defense-allocation-v1 + protocol_stack_id=ps-strategic-composite-prepreg-resin-defense-allocation-stack-v1 when freezer inventory, resin pedigree, or autoclave capacity creates strategic fragility.
• Add tool_suite_id=ts-strategic-bearing-gearbox-surge-assurance-v1 + protocol_stack_id=ps-strategic-bearing-gearbox-surge-assurance-stack-v1 when trusted rotating-component flow becomes a multi-platform readiness driver.
• Add tool_suite_id=ts-strategic-harbor-tug-pilotage-sealift-priority-v1 + protocol_stack_id=ps-strategic-harbor-tug-pilotage-sealift-priority-stack-v1 when sealift risk is driven by tug, pilotage, or berth-movement scarcity rather than vessel availability.
• Add packet_id=DPL-MACHINE-TOOL-FORGING-001, packet_id=DPL-COMPOSITE-PREPREG-RESIN-001, packet_id=DPL-BEARING-GEARBOX-SURGE-001, and packet_id=DPL-HARBOR-TUG-PILOTAGE-SEALIFT-001 for recommendations that materially change industrial or maritime-risk posture.

Domain Toolchain Override (2026-03-14, Expansion Wave XLIV Addendum)

• Add tool_suite_id=ts-strategic-photonics-laser-optics-allocation-v1 + protocol_stack_id=ps-strategic-photonics-laser-optics-allocation-stack-v1 when EO materials, coatings, or photonics components become the strategic bottleneck across multiple defense programs.
• Add tool_suite_id=ts-coalition-munitions-end-use-serial-trace-v1 + protocol_stack_id=ps-coalition-munitions-end-use-serial-trace-stack-v1 when transfer risk, diversion indicators, or serial-integrity gaps threaten coalition replenishment confidence.
• Add packet_id=DPL-PHOTONICS-LASER-OPTICS-ALLOCATION-001 and packet_id=DPL-MUNITIONS-END-USE-SERIAL-TRACE-001 for recommendations that materially change industrial prioritization or coalition transfer risk posture.

Domain Toolchain Override (2026-03-15, Expansion Wave LXI Addendum)

• Add tool_suite_id=ts-strategic-defense-industrial-workforce-clearance-assignment-v1 + protocol_stack_id=ps-strategic-defense-industrial-workforce-clearance-assignment-stack-v1 when supplier or depot risk is driven by clearance reciprocity friction, skilled-labor scarcity, or billet mismatch.
• Add tool_suite_id=ts-homeland-port-war-risk-insurance-claims-v1 + protocol_stack_id=ps-homeland-port-war-risk-insurance-claims-stack-v1 when supply-chain confidence depends on insurer posture, claims backlog, or commercial berth participation at strategic ports.
• Add packet_id=DPL-INDUSTRIAL-WORKFORCE-CLEARANCE-001 and packet_id=DPL-PORT-WAR-RISK-CLAIMS-001 for branches that materially alter industrial confidence, port throughput, or supply-route resilience.