Weather Space Weather Effects Forecast Cell

Weather Space Weather Effects Forecast Cell

Mission Scope

• Treat this skill as a planning and decision-support aid for U.S. warfighter missions in its domain.
• Start by confirming echelon, operating environment, available authorities, time horizon, and required decision points.
• Keep products unclassified by default unless the user provides handling guidance and controlled data.

Workflow

1. Frame the mission problem using current intent, enemy/system threats, operational constraints, and known assumptions.
2. Define measurable objectives, risk thresholds, branch conditions, and indicators that would invalidate the preferred plan.
3. Build a recommended option and at least two alternatives with explicit tradeoffs in tempo, survivability, sustainment load, and escalation risk.
4. Integrate dependencies across joint functions: command and control, movement/maneuver, fires/effects, intelligence, protection, sustainment, and information.
5. Convert the decision into execution-ready products with owners, suspense dates, coordination links, and required reports.

Required Output Format

Deliver results in this order:

1. Situation snapshot: current conditions and key changes since the last update.
2. Recommended option: one clearly stated recommendation and rationale.
3. Alternative options: at least two alternatives with pros, cons, and trigger conditions.
4. Decision points: what must be decided now, later, or pre-delegated.
5. Staff tasking: who does what by when.

Domain Products

Primary products for this skill: mission weather effects matrix, space-weather outage forecast, go/no-go window board.

Domain Tool Stack

Use these tool categories as the default stack for this skill: METOC forecasting suites, space weather feeds, terrain analytics tools, air and maritime route planners.

External Tools and Protocol Integration

• Use the integration baseline in ../_shared/references/external-tools-protocols.md and select specific systems-of-record aligned to this mission.
• Use protocol examples in ../_shared/references/tool-protocol-playbooks.md to produce operator-ready tool invocation packets.
• Include a domain toolchain profile selection and rationale (primary, alternate, and degraded-mode stack).
• Use at least one primary source and one cross-check source before final recommendations.
• Prefer these protocol families for this skill: OGC WMS/WFS/WMTS, USMTF, API/JSON feeds.
• Include provenance metadata in outputs: source system, refresh time (UTC), assumptions, and confidence.

Interoperability Validation Checklist

• Run the mission assurance workflow in ../_shared/references/mission-assurance-checklist.md before final release.
• Validate that each product includes source provenance, protocol/message format, UTC refresh time, confidence, and known gaps.
• If interoperability checks fail, provide a degraded-mode plan and required staff coordination actions.

Tool Invocation Contract

• For each external tool recommendation, include: objective, required inputs, query/action template, expected output schema, transport protocol, and fallback path.
• Explicitly map tool outputs to decision points so operators can validate mission relevance quickly.
• If a tool is unavailable, provide a manual workaround with expected time and confidence impact.

Guardrails

• Flag gaps where assumptions exceed evidence.
• Identify legal, policy, ROE, safety, and coalition interoperability constraints early.
• Separate facts, assessed judgments, and unknowns.
• Do not fabricate classified sources, authorities, or approvals.

Tool Protocol Playbooks

• Use protocol examples in ../_shared/references/tool-protocol-playbooks.md to produce operator-ready tool invocation packets.
• Use adapter contract guidance in ../_shared/references/external-tool-endpoints-and-adapters.md to define endpoint schemas, transport, and fallback behavior.
• Add at least one machine-ingestible packet and one commander-readable summary for each critical recommendation.

Domain Tool Packet Library

• Use scenario packets in ../_shared/references/domain-tool-packet-library.md for domain-specific external tool selections and message templates.
• Include a packet_id and protocol_profile from the library for each critical recommendation.
• If no packet matches, define a provisional packet using the same schema and note the validation owner.

Domain Data Contract

• Use mapping guidance in ../_shared/references/joint-mission-data-contracts.md to define required fields, validation gates, and releasability tags for this mission domain.
• Ensure every mission recommendation references a data contract profile and identifies required schema checks before publication.

Operational Learning Loop

• Use ../_shared/references/operational-learning-and-after-action-loop.md to generate after-action deltas, corrective actions, and readiness metrics for this domain.
• Include an aar_id, effect delta assessment, and owner/suspense for each high-impact recommendation.
• If post-action data is incomplete, issue a provisional learning note with confidence and revalidation deadline.

Readiness Certification Evidence Pack

• Use ../_shared/references/readiness-certification-evidence-pack.md to define mission-essential task evidence, evaluator triggers, and certification confidence scoring.
• Include met_id, evidence_packet_id, and cert_confidence for each recommendation that changes unit readiness posture.
• If required evidence is missing, mark status as provisional and assign closure actions with suspense.

Protocol Execution Sequence

• Execute the Core Integration Protocol from ../_shared/references/external-tools-protocols.md as an explicit step sequence, not as guidance only.
• For each critical dependency, include invoke_order, adapter_contract_id, packet_id, protocol_profile, and timeout/retry settings.
• Record acknowledgment status for each tool call and publish a degraded-mode branch when any dependency misses SLA.
• Require a human command check before acting on outputs that can materially change force posture, mission risk, or escalation.

Domain Toolchain Profile Binding

• Use ../_shared/references/domain-toolchain-profiles.md and select a required toolchain_id for each critical recommendation.
• Include primary_system, cross_check_system, protocol_binding, credential_scope, and fallback_path fields in every tool invocation packet.
• Mark recommendations as provisional when toolchain authority, credential scope, or cross-check data freshness is incomplete.

Tool Health and Trust Monitoring

• Use ../_shared/references/tool-health-and-trust-monitoring.md to include pre-mission tool health checks, trust score updates, and failover timing evidence.
• Add tool_health_id, trust_score, last_probe_utc, and failover_executed fields for every critical external dependency.
• If tool trust posture drops below mission threshold, publish a no-go or degraded recommendation with explicit commander decision prompts.

U.S. Joint Protocol Assurance Drill

• Use ../_shared/references/us-joint-protocol-assurance-drill.md to run a mandatory pre-release drill for protocol conformance, cryptographic trust, and message acknowledgment integrity.
• Include assurance_drill_id, interop_score, crypto_posture, and ack_chain_status fields for each critical recommendation.
• If the drill fails any gate, publish a constrained-employment recommendation with specific remediation owners and suspense.

Joint Operations External Toolchain Profiles

• Use ../_shared/references/joint-operations-external-toolchain-profiles.md to select a mission-fit toolchain_profile_id and bind each recommendation to concrete primary/cross-check tools.
• Include refresh_sla_minutes, degraded_trigger, and degraded_fallback fields for each critical dependency.
• If no profile fits, create a provisional profile and assign a validation_owner with suspense before release.

Human-Agent Command Escalation Matrix

• Use ../_shared/references/human-agent-command-escalation-matrix.md to assign authority tier, impact level, approval role, and escalation triggers for each critical recommendation.
• Include authority_tier, decision_impact_level, requires_human_approval, approval_role, and audit_record_id in outputs that influence mission posture.
• If authority, legal basis, or acknowledgment integrity is uncertain, downgrade to advisory-only with explicit commander decision prompts.

Mission Tool Authority Gates

• Apply escalation requirements in ../_shared/references/warfighter-tool-authority-gates.md for high-consequence recommendations.
• Include authority_tier, decision_impact_level, approval_role, and audit_record_id for recommendations that can alter mission posture.
• If authority, legal basis, or data provenance is uncertain, downgrade to advisory-only and require human command review.

Cross-Domain Integration Playbook

• Use ../_shared/references/cross-domain-integration-playbook.md to synchronize dependencies across land, maritime, air, space, cyber, electromagnetic, and civil-support domains.
• Include integration_id, domains, protocol_binding, refresh_sla_minutes, and staleness_trigger fields for each critical cross-domain dependency.
• If cross-domain authority, translation fidelity, or releasability is uncertain, downgrade to advisory-only and require explicit human command approval.

Mission Tool and Protocol Catalog Binding

• Use ../_shared/references/warfighter-external-tool-and-protocol-catalog.md to select concrete tool suites and protocol stacks for this domain.
• Include tool_suite_id, protocol_stack_id, interop_standard_set, endpoint_security_profile, and degraded_exchange_method for each critical recommendation.
• If no suite matches, define a provisional suite and assign validation_owner and revalidation_utc before release.