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Johna2an

@johna2an source repo

2 published skills

  1. ▌
    Critical Thinking 2 · johna2an bundle
    Think clearly and decide well under uncertainty. Use this skill whenever you reason through a hard problem, analyze or critique an argument, evaluate a claim or a statistic, weigh evidence, forecast or estimate odds, make or pressure-test a decision, diagnose a recurring failure, red-team an idea, or check your own reasoning for bias. Grounded in 21 books on judgment and reasoning (Kahneman's "Thinking, Fast and Slow", Galef's "Scout Mindset", Tetlock's "Superforecasting", Silver, Duke, Meadows, Dennett, de Bono, Deutsch, Sagan, Pigliucci, Bergstrom and West's "Calling Bullshit", Huff, Rosling's "Factfulness", Browne, Weston, Warburton, Adler, Hamming, Bazerman, Hastie). Reach for this for "think through", "is this true", "is this argument sound", "evaluate this claim", "what could go wrong", "should I", "what are the odds", "red-team this", "find the flaw", or any judgment, analysis, forecasting, or decision task, even when no book is named. The deep tool libraries in references/ load on demand, by task.
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  2. ▌
    Critical Thinking · johna2an bundle
    Think clearly and decide well under uncertainty. Use this skill whenever you reason through a hard problem, analyze or critique an argument, evaluate a claim or a statistic, weigh evidence, forecast or estimate odds, make or pressure-test a decision, diagnose a recurring failure, red-team an idea, brainstorm or generate ideas and options, redesign something, model a situation, or check your own reasoning for bias. Grounded in 51 books on judgment, reasoning, creativity, systems, uncertainty, models, and the philosophy of science (Kahneman's "Thinking, Fast and Slow", Galef's "Scout Mindset", Tetlock's "Superforecasting", Silver, Duke, Meadows, Dennett, de Bono, Deutsch, Sagan, Pigliucci, Bergstrom and West's "Calling Bullshit", Rosling's "Factfulness", Bazerman, Hastie, plus Koestler's "Act of Creation", von Oech, de Bono's "Six Thinking Hats", Johnson's "Where Good Ideas Come From", Brown's "Change by Design", Norman's "Design of Everyday Things", Hofstadter's "Surfaces and Essences" and "Godel, Escher, Bach
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