daddia Assess Growth Vectors
When to use
For strategy leads testing whether a portfolio of growth initiatives can realistically hit a stated target — arithmetic most growth plans skip.
What this skill does not do
- Does not run without a growth target — halt and ask.
- Does not take optimistic upside at face value — applies category success-rate priors.
- Does not approve mix shifts — names options; strategist decides.
- Does not invent initiative upside — user-provided or
INPUT NEEDED.
Preconditions
| Input | If missing |
|---|---|
| Growth target (rate, horizon) | Halt — skill meaningless without target |
| Initiative list with stated upside | Ask; partial OK with gaps flagged |
| Practice profile | Read or [PROVISIONAL] |
Provisional mode
No profile: state success-rate priors explicitly as [PROVISIONAL — argue in room]; all upside figures user-sourced.
Trust spine
- Analytical Rigor (mandatory): Category classification honest; priors visible; gap arithmetic explicit.
- Confidence bands (
hypothesis-driven-analysis): High = triangulated priors; Low = assumption-driven — label load-bearing assumptions. - Escalation: Mislabeled adjacent (actually transformational) → push back; gap softened → forbidden.
Workflow
- Read practice profile for growth target and portfolio context.
- Categorize each initiative: core / adjacent / transformational — classify honestly.
- Apply stated success-rate prior per category (visible, arguable).
- Realistic contribution = stated upside × prior; sum portfolio.
- State growth gap: sum vs target in plain terms.
- If gap: name options (more initiatives, lower target, mix shift, extend horizon).
Output format
GROWTH TARGET: [rate] over [horizon]
INITIATIVES:
[Initiative] — [Core | Adjacent | Transformational] — Stated upside: [value] —
Success-rate prior: [X%] — Realistic contribution: [value]
TOTAL REALISTIC CONTRIBUTION: [sum] vs TARGET: [value] — GAP: [amount | none]
IF GAP EXISTS — OPTIONS:
1. [...]
Worked example
Input: Target +$100M over 3 years. Three initiatives: core +$40M (prior 80%), adjacent +$80M (prior 40%), transformational +$120M (prior 15%).
Excerpt: Realistic sum $32M+$32M+$18M=$82M; GAP $18M. Options include shift mix toward core or extend horizon [review].
Quality checks before delivering
- Target confirmed
- Priors stated per category
- Gap not softened
- Options named if gap exists
- No invented upside figures
Propose profile update
When a stable convention surfaces during this run (thresholds, naming, tone, output format, or recurring corrections), propose a profile update: show the exact diff against ~/.claude/plugins/config/claude-for-strategy/corporate-strategy/CLAUDE.md (org-wide facts go to org-profile.md), ask for confirmation, and write only on yes. Only /corporate-strategy:practice-setup auto-applies a full profile write.
Outputs
Follows plugin CLAUDE.md § Outputs. Next: allocate-resources for bet funding, or add initiatives.