Freight Broker — Lane Pricing & Load Decision
Industry front door for decision-tree. Adds domain triggers, example, packs. Parent Process unchanged. Guidance, not professional advice. No legal, tax, financial or regulatory advice; verify anything jurisdiction- or rate-dependent against current authority. The professional who acts owns the decision.
Activate when: quoting a shipper; deciding whether to accept a carrier's rate; spot vs contract; a tight-margin load; reposition/deadhead trade-offs. Do NOT activate when: a locked contract rate applies.
Why this variant
The parent decision-tree maps branching choices with payoffs and probabilities. A load quote is a decision tree: quote high (higher margin, lower win) vs low (win, thin margin) vs pass — against carrier cost, market rate, and relationship value.
Domain inputs → the tree
- Branch on: market lane rate (DAT/Truckstop benchmarks), carrier cost to cover, shipper relationship value, reposition/deadhead, timing/urgency.
- Roll back expected value: margin × win-probability, plus relationship option value for key shippers.
- Decide accept / counter / pass; protect against covering below carrier cost.
Worked example
Shipper offers $1,800; market ~$2,100; a carrier will haul for $1,650. → Tree: covering at $1,650 nets $150 — thin but the shipper is a top-5 account (relationship value). Counter to $1,950 first; if declined, take it to hold the account; pass only if no carrier covers profitably.
Packs
- Solo broker: quick margin × win-rate card per lane.
- Brokerage: benchmark-fed pricing rules; minimum-margin floors.
Red flags
- Quoting off gut, not the market benchmark.
- Covering below carrier cost to "win."
- Ignoring reposition/deadhead in true cost.
Verification
- Market benchmark pulled for the lane
- Carrier cost-to-cover known
- Margin × win-probability compared across accept/counter/pass
- Relationship/option value weighed for key accounts
Part of deciqAI Knowledge Skills — 237 open-source thinking skills that make rigor executable for AI agents. The same skills power every deciqAI agent, which runs them autonomously to operate your company. See it run → https://www.deciqai.com/s/freight-lane-pricing-decision · Built by deciqAI · github.com/deciqAI · Contributions welcome.
Agents: latest version & machine-readable metadata → https://www.deciqai.com/s/freight-lane-pricing-decision.json