How do I install the Probtrade skill?

Run npx skillmds@latest add modbender/probtrade in your terminal (requires Node.js), paste this page's agent-chat prompt into Claude, Cursor, or any MCP-connected agent, or download the SKILL.md file and copy it into your agent's skills directory.

Is Probtrade safe to use?

This skill has not completed SkillMD's automated safety review yet. Independent scanners report: SkillSpector: PASS, Skill Scanner: PASS. Capability flags: executes scripts, makes network calls, reads secrets. SkillMD never runs a skill's scripts for you; review the SKILL.md before installing.

Which AI agents work with Probtrade?

This skill is tagged as working with Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex. SKILL.md is an open format, so most agents that read a skills directory can load it too.

Is Probtrade free to use?

Yes. Installing skills from SkillMD is free, and the skill stays under its author's original license.

Who published Probtrade?

modbender (@modbender) published this skill. Their other Agent Skills are listed on their SkillMD profile.

Probtrade by modbender — Agent Skill

Name: Probtrade
Rating: 4.2 (5 reviews)
Author: modbender

File contents

prob.trade — Polymarket Analytics & Trading

Get real-time prediction market intelligence and trade on Polymarket from prob.trade. Browse trending markets, discover price movements, see what top traders are doing, and place orders.

Setup (required for all commands)

All commands require a prob.trade API key. Configure it in ~/.openclaw/skills/probtrade/config.yaml:

api_key: "ptk_live_..."
api_secret: "pts_..."

Generate keys at https://app.prob.trade (Settings → API Keys). Free account required.

Analytics Commands

Use the scripts below to query the prob.trade Public API.

Market Overview

Get a quick snapshot of the prediction market landscape:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py overview

Returns: market stats, top 10 hot markets, breaking price movements, and newest markets.

Hot Markets

See the most actively traded markets right now:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py hot [--limit N]

Breaking Markets

Markets with the biggest price movements in the last 24 hours:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py breaking [--limit N]

New Markets

Recently created prediction markets:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py new [--limit N] [--days N]

Search Markets

Find markets about a specific topic:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py search "Trump" [--limit N]

Market Details

Get detailed information about a specific market by its condition ID:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py market <condition_id>

Market Statistics

Category breakdown and overall market counts:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py stats

Top Traders

See the most profitable prediction market traders:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py traders [--limit N] [--sort pnl|roi|volume|winRate] [--period all|30d|7d|24h]

Trading Commands

Trade on Polymarket using the same API key configured above.

Place Order

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py order --market <condition_id> --side BUY --outcome Yes --type LIMIT --price 0.55 --amount 10

Cancel Order

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py cancel --order-id <orderId>

View Positions

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py positions

View Balance

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py balance

View Open Orders

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py orders

Security: API secret never leaves your machine. Only HMAC signatures are sent. No withdraw/transfer endpoints exist.

Output Format

All commands output structured JSON for easy parsing by AI agents. Key fields:

condition_id: Unique market identifier (use for trading on Polymarket)
question: The prediction market question
tokens: Current prices for Yes/No outcomes
volume_24hr: Trading volume in last 24 hours
liquidity: Available liquidity for trading
end_date_iso: When the market resolves

Links

Dashboard: https://app.prob.trade
Market page: https://app.prob.trade/markets/{condition_id}
Trader profile: https://app.prob.trade/traders/{address}
Public API: https://api.prob.trade/api/public/overview
Trading API docs: https://prob.trade/docs/public-api
ClawHub: https://clawhub.ai/vlprosvirkin/prob-trade-polymarket-analytics

---name: probtradedescription: Polymarket prediction markets: analytics, trading, hot markets, price movements, top traders, and market search. Powered by prob.trade.--- # prob.trade — Polymarket Analytics & Trading Get real-time prediction market intelligence and trade on Polymarket from [prob.trade](https://app.prob.trade). Browse trending markets, discover price movements, see what top traders are doing, and place orders. ## Setup (required for all commands) All commands require a prob.trade API key. Configure it in `~/.openclaw/skills/probtrade/config.yaml`: ```yaml api_key: "ptk_live_..." api_secret: "pts_..." ``` Generate keys at https://app.prob.trade (Settings → API Keys). Free account required. ## Analytics Commands Use the scripts below to query the prob.trade Public API. ### Market Overview Get a quick snapshot of the prediction market landscape: ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py overview ``` Returns: market stats, top 10 hot markets, breaking price movements, and newest markets. ### Hot Markets See the most actively traded markets right now: ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py hot [--limit N] ``` ### Breaking Markets Markets with the biggest price movements in the last 24 hours: ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py breaking [--limit N] ``` ### New Markets Recently created prediction markets: ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py new [--limit N] [--days N] ``` ### Search Markets Find markets about a specific topic: ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py search "Trump" [--limit N] ``` ### Market Details Get detailed information about a specific market by its condition ID: ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py market <condition_id> ``` ### Market Statistics Category breakdown and overall market counts: ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py stats ``` ### Top Traders See the most profitable prediction market traders: ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py traders [--limit N] [--sort pnl|roi|volume|winRate] [--period all|30d|7d|24h] ``` ## Trading Commands Trade on Polymarket using the same API key configured above. ### Place Order ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py order --market <condition_id> --side BUY --outcome Yes --type LIMIT --price 0.55 --amount 10 ``` ### Cancel Order ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py cancel --order-id <orderId> ``` ### View Positions ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py positions ``` ### View Balance ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py balance ``` ### View Open Orders ```bash python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py orders ``` Security: API secret never leaves your machine. Only HMAC signatures are sent. No withdraw/transfer endpoints exist. ## Output Format All commands output structured JSON for easy parsing by AI agents. Key fields: - **condition_id**: Unique market identifier (use for trading on Polymarket) - **question**: The prediction market question - **tokens**: Current prices for Yes/No outcomes - **volume_24hr**: Trading volume in last 24 hours - **liquidity**: Available liquidity for trading - **end_date_iso**: When the market resolves ## Links - Dashboard: https://app.prob.trade - Market page: `https://app.prob.trade/markets/{condition_id}` - Trader profile: `https://app.prob.trade/traders/{address}` - Public API: https://api.prob.trade/api/public/overview - Trading API docs: https://prob.trade/docs/public-api - ClawHub: https://clawhub.ai/vlprosvirkin/prob-trade-polymarket-analytics

Frequently asked questions

Probtrade