Results for “market-risk”

Detect IBD-style Distribution Days for QQQ/SPY, track 25-session expiration and 5% invalidation, count d5/d15/d25 clusters, classify market risk, and emit TQQQ/QQQ exposure recommendations.

Evaluate macro-environmental factors across Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, and Environmental dimensions for strategic planning and market entry assessment.

Quantifies market top probability using O'Neil Distribution Days, Minervini leading stock deterioration, and Monty defensive sector rotation, producing a 0-100 composite score with risk zone classification for tactical 2-8 week timing signals.

Evaluates a local pre-trade checklist before manual order entry, blocking planless, oversized, revenge-risk, market-regime-blocked, or circuit-breaker-blocked entries while journaling the decision for later review.

Evaluate a raw app, startup, SaaS, internal tool, marketplace, or AI product idea before planning features. Use when the user shares a vague concept and needs pain analysis, market realism, feasibility, differentiation, risks, or a build/no-build recommendation.

Calculate portfolio risk metrics including VaR, CVaR, Sharpe, Sortino, and drawdown analysis. Use when measuring portfolio risk, implementing risk limits, or building risk monitoring systems.

Identify and prioritize risks by impact and controllability. Use for risk management, project planning, and strategic decision support.

Provides a single 0-100 cycle score blending VIX, SPY IV Rank, Put/Call ratio, and valuation percentile to determine offense vs. defense posture, based on Howard Marks' market cycle framework.

风险管理核心skill套件 — CVaR实时风控、动态仓位管理（风控版）。对标Bridgewater全天候策略、PIMCO风控体系的工程化实现。

Analyzes the volatility smile and skew for a single options expiration, providing implied volatility curves, skew metrics, and shape classification to reveal market pricing of tail risk and directional fear.

Identify what to measure, test, or track to de-risk a product or AI idea across internal and external risk dimensions.

Compares prediction market probabilities from Polymarket with options-implied probabilities to identify mispricing signals and potential arbitrage opportunities.

Query Polymarket: markets, prices, orderbooks, history.

Calculates a per-ticker panic index (0-100) from six weighted signals including VIX, IV Rank, RSI-14, volume anomaly, put/call ratio, and consecutive down days, triggering Bull Put Spread entry signals at scores ≥60.

Monitors a watchlist of Polymarket markets and surfaces meaningful shifts in price, volume, comments, or resolution proximity, with position context and optional Bankr integration.

Creates safety alert decks with hazard stripes, tiered cards, and policy code blocks for incident reviews and risk communication.

VaR Unit Mismatch Fix

Prediction markets data - Polymarket, Kalshi markets, prices, positions, and trades. Use when: the user needs market data, stock analysis, watchlists, or portfolio workflows.

Quantifies whether a stock is suitable for long-term holding or requires tiered profit-taking using a novel 'rollercoaster rate' metric, running 15 exit strategies over ~10 years of daily history per ticker.

Analyzes recent market-moving news events and their impact on US equity markets and commodities, producing impact-ranked reports using web search and fetch tools.

Design and implement Monte Carlo methods for uncertainty quantification, risk analysis, and probabilistic simulations across scientific and financial domains. Use when "monte carlo, random sampling, uncertainty quantification, risk analysis, stochastic simulation, MCMC, variance reduction, probabilistic, " mentioned.

把宏观、政策、监管、供需、地缘、行业或公司事件转化为公司、行业与公开市场的因果影响分析，覆盖事件状态、基线、传导渠道、财务与估值影响、直接及高阶影响、priced-in判断、情景、监控与证伪。用于事件影响、政策冲击、跨资产传导和公司事件研究；不要用于无明确事件的公司基本面或普通新闻摘要。

Delivers a daily DeFi regime verdict (RISK-ON/NEUTRAL/RISK-OFF) from five named inputs, top TVL movers with causal reasoning, and a sustainable-vs-incentive yield split to distinguish real product-market fit from emissions-pumped APY.

Recommends optimal multi-leg option strategies based on market view, with 15+ templates and full P&L profiles.

Entry-point skill for Imperial perpetual routing on Solana. Use before answering or acting on Imperial router flows, Phoenix-routed perps, profile funding, market/portfolio intel, risk checks, TP/SL, TWAP, grid, or Telegram bot trading workflows.

Write the private-equity investment committee memo for a deal — thesis, company and market, financials and QoE, valuation and returns with base/bull/bear MOIC and IRR, value-creation plan, risks and mitigants, structure and financing, sensitivities, and a conditioned recommendation.

Understand and trade futures contracts on commodities, indices, crypto, and event outcomes. Covers contract mechanics, margin, settlement, spreads, and risk. Use when analyzing futures markets, understanding contract specs, evaluating margin requirements, or building futures strategies. Also trigger for 'futures contract', 'commodities trading', 'futures margin', 'contract specs', 'futures spread', 'oil futures', 'crypto futures', or 'index futures'.

Detect and evaluate arbitrage opportunities across sportsbooks and prediction markets. Calculate guaranteed-profit scenarios, middle bets, and cross-platform price discrepancies. Use when comparing odds across books, calculating arb percentages, evaluating middle opportunities, or building odds-comparison workflows. Also trigger for 'arb bet', 'sure bet', 'arbitrage', 'odds comparison', 'middle bet', 'risk-free bet', or 'line shopping'.

Score an unbuilt business idea on desirability, viability, feasibility, distribution wedge, why-now, founder-market-fit, market size, alternatives, defensibility, capital intensity, and regulatory/ethical risk — and return a GO / ITERATE / KILL verdict with kill criteria and a next kill test. Load when the user asks to evaluate a business idea, score a startup idea, screen an idea, decide whether to pursue this venture, do an idea review, or says "is this a good business idea", "should I build this", "evaluate this startup", "screen this idea", "go/no-go on this idea", "kill or pursue". Sub-skill of `venture-exploration`. Calls `fermi` for sizing, `assumption-mapping` for hidden beliefs, optional `pre-mortem` / `adversarial-hat` for high-stakes ideas. Does NOT evaluate built products — for that use `reality-check`.